Certified Reduced Basis Model Characterization: a Frequentistic Uncertainty Framework

Abstract

We introduce a frequentistic validation framework for assessment - acceptance or rejection - of the consistency of a proposed parametrized partial differential equation model with respect to (noisy) experimental data from a physical system. Our method builds upon the Hotelling T2 statistical hypothesis test for bias first introduced by Balci & Sargent in 1984 and subsequently extended by McFarland & Mahadevan 2008. Our approach introduces two new elements: a spectral representation of the misfit which reduces the dimensionality and variance of the underlying multivariate Gaussian but without introduction of the usual regression assumptions; a certified (verified) reduced basis approximation - reduced order model - which greatly accelerates computational performance but without any loss of rigor relative to the full (finite element) discretization. We illustrate our approach with examples from heat transfer and acoustics, both based on synthetic data. We demonstrate that we can efficiently identify possibility regions that characterize parameter uncertainty; furthermore, in the case that the possibility region is empty, we can deduce the presence of "unmodeled physics" such as cracks or heterogeneities.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 11, 2011
Accession Number
ADA557510

Entities

People

  • A. T. Patera
  • D. B. Huynh
  • D. J. Knezevic

Organizations

  • Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acoustics
  • Coefficients
  • Conduction (Heat Transfer)
  • Differential Equations
  • Engineering
  • Equations
  • Experimental Data
  • Gaussian Processes
  • Heat Transfer
  • Linear Programming
  • Measurement
  • Partial Differential Equations
  • Physics
  • Probability
  • Rejection
  • Thermal Conductivity
  • Validation

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Statistical inference.
  • Theoretical Analysis.