The Ring of Gyges: Anonymity and Technological Advance's Effect on the Deterrence of Non-State Actors in 2035
Abstract
This paper explores the effects of anonymity and technological advances on deterrence theory and recommends ways to make today's deterrence methods more effective in this future environment. It begins by examining the main themes of classic deterrence in the national security literature as they apply to groups and individuals. Next, it presents a basic model of group and individual behavior to explain how anonymity creates an ungoverned space that traditional deterrence strategies do not address. Finally, it recommends two approaches to deter groups and individuals in an anonymous world by 1) increasing the degree of transparency in the actions of individuals globally to reduce their motivation, capability and opportunity to launch attacks and 2) taking steps to immunize or improve the resiliency of the United States and its allies to deny would-be actors the benefit of their action. To understand why improved global transparency and immunization will become a pressing national security requirement by 2035, it is first necessary to examine the limitations of current deterrence theory when dealing with issues of groups/individuals and anonymity.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Feb 16, 2011
- Accession Number
- ADA565069
Entities
People
- David R. Iverson
Organizations
- Air War College