Explosion Source Model Development in Support of Seismic Monitoring Technologies: Apparent Explosion Moment and Prospects for Moment-Based Yield Estimation

Abstract

This paper reports on research activities for the third and final year of a project to develop new explosion source models that include the effects of source medium damage, a form of which is deep-seated, shock-induced tensile failure identified in our previous studies. In general, damage will contribute volumetric, compensated linear vector dipole (CLVD), and double-couple (DC) sources of seismic radiation. Our past work has studied the effects of a CLVD source on Rayleigh wave radiation and its impact on the performance of mb-Ms discrimination. Part I of this paper shifts attention to the volumetric contribution that source medium damage makes. In the model, there are two possible volumetric sources: (1) the traditional source associated with direct effects of explosions creating a cavity with volume V and (2) the damage source due to non-linear free-surface interactions and shock-wave rebound causing abrupt changes of elastic moduli and dilating the source medium with volume U due to bulking and shear dilatancy. The CLVD represents a non-volumetric, deviatoric source component of damage. K is a source parameter measuring the steady-state strength MCLVD of the CLVD with respect to MI, the isotropic moment. Moment tensor inversion results for NTS explosions show that K steadily decreases with yield, approaching values near 1.0 for highest yield shots. A K value of 1.0 implies MCLVD = 0 and, by inference, small U. Our hypothesis is that the force of spall slapdown is great enough at high yields to crush the tuff matrix, reducing U while V remains intact. Slapdown at low yields is not great enough to do so, leaving both V and U unaffected. We tested the hypothesis by comparing measurements of MI with estimates of "classical" moment based on scaling relationships of V and velocity models for Pahute Mesa, including the effects of coupling above the water table.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 2010
Accession Number
ADA569493

Entities

People

  • Howard J. Patton

Organizations

  • Los Alamos National Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Energy and Power Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force Research Laboratories
  • Couplings
  • Discrimination
  • Explosions
  • Failure Mode And Effect Analysis
  • Frequency
  • Ground Based
  • Groundwater
  • Materials
  • Measurement
  • Monitoring
  • Nuclear Explosions
  • Observation
  • Rayleigh Waves
  • Shock Waves
  • Surface Waves
  • Waves

Readers

  • Mechanical Engineering/Mechanics of Materials.
  • Seismology
  • Statistical inference.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference