Forecasting Future Sea Ice Conditions in the MIZ: A Langrangian Approach

Abstract

LONG-TERM GOALS: 1- Determine the source regions for sea ice in coastal zones using back trajectories calculated from satellite-derived sea ice drift, based on work by Maslanak et al. 1995, Emery et al. 1997a, Meier et al. 2000, Tschudi et al. 2010. 2- Assess whether the source region of sea ice melting in peripheral seas in the GCMs participating in the IPCC AR5 and regional sea ice models agree with observed source region patterns from the satellite-derived dataset. 3- Compare Lagrangian ice trajectories in model and satellite datasets. 4- Repeat this analysis for 4 critical climate horizons: a base period (1979-2000), the most recent decade when transition to a new sea ice regime occurred (2001-2010), and two projection periods in the 21st Century (mid and late 21st century).

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 2012
Accession Number
ADA572580

Entities

People

  • Bruno Tremblay

Organizations

  • Columbia University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Temperature
  • Archipelagoes
  • Artificial Satellites
  • Climate Change
  • Data Centers
  • Delphi Method
  • Environmental Assessment
  • Grids
  • High Resolution
  • Ice
  • Marginal Ice Zones
  • Regions
  • Sea Ice
  • Spatial Distribution
  • Tensile Strength
  • Trajectories
  • Universities

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Economics
  • Ocean-Atmosphere Mesoscale Modeling, Data Assimilation, and Flux Boundary Layers
  • Polar and Arctic Studies

Technology Areas

  • Space