Port Risk Assessment Port of Morgan City, LA

Abstract

The risk assessment process is a structured approach to obtaining expert judgements on the level of waterway risk. The process also addresses the relative merit of specific types of Vessel Traffic Management (VTM) improvements for reducing risk in the port. Based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), the port risk assessment process uses a select group of expert/stakeholders in each port to evaluate waterway risk factors and the effectiveness of various VTM improvements. The process requires the participation of local Coast Guard officials before and throughout the workshops. Thus the process is a joint effort involving waterway user experts, stakeholders, and the agencies/entities responsible for implementing selected risk mitigation measures. This methodology employs a generic model of port risk that was conceptually developed by a National Dialog Group on Port Risk and then developed into computer algorithms by the Volpe National Transportation Systems Center. In that model, risk is defined as the product of the probability of a casualty and its consequences. Consequently, the model includes variables associated with both the causes and the effects of vessel casualties. Because the risk factors in the model do NOT contribute equally to overall port risk, the first session of each workshop is devoted to obtaining expert opinion about how to weight the relative contribution of each variable to overall port risk. The experts then are asked to establish scales to measure each variable. Once the parameters have been established for each risk-inducing factor, each port's risk is estimated by putting into the computer risk model specific values for that port for each variable. The computer model allows comparison of relative risk and the potential efficacy of various VTM improvements between different ports.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 03, 2000
Accession Number
ADA572840

Entities

Organizations

  • United States Coast Guard Academy

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Automatic Identification Systems
  • Birds
  • Coast Guard
  • Computers
  • Economic Impact
  • Electronic Mail
  • Hazardous Materials
  • Identification Systems
  • Law
  • Navigation
  • Navigational Aids
  • Riprap
  • Risk
  • Risk Analysis
  • Risk Factors
  • Transportation
  • Waterways

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Maritime Security/Maritime Homeland Security
  • Naval Engineering and Maritime Security
  • Women's Health and Cancer Risk Research: African American Women and Pregnancy Outcomes.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - DoD AI Strategy