The Population Consequences of Disturbance Model Application to North Atlantic Right Whales (Eubalaena glacialis)

Abstract

Anthropogenic noise is known to cause both behavioral and physiological changes in marine mammals, but the potential for long-term population effects is not known. The Population Consequences of Acoustic Disurbance (PCAD) model (NRC 2005) provided a framework to trace the effects of acoustic disturbance through the life history of a marine mammal to its population status. Recent developments in the PCAD working group have led to modified analyses (now defined as PCOD Population Consequences Of Disturbance) designed to determine if the effects of any disturbance can be traced from individuals to the population by way of changes in either behavior or physiology (see Figure 1). In North Atlantic right whales (Eubalaena glacialis), extensive data on health and body condition, anthropogenic impacts, and individual life history exists. The primary goal of this study is to model visual observations of health, human impacts, and whale locations to estimates of true underlying condition and individual level survival for right whales. A secondary goal is to develop approaches for modeling fecundity. Finally, a workshop to be held in January of 2013 will explore the feasibility of incorporating acoustics, prey variability, and the spatial characteristics of human activities into the PCOD model.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 2012
Accession Number
ADA573546

Entities

People

  • Amy R. Knowlton
  • Rob Schick
  • Rosaland M. Rolland
  • Scott D. Kraus

Organizations

  • New England Aquarium

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Abstracts
  • Animals
  • Bayesian Networks
  • Cetaceans
  • Geographic Regions
  • Information Operations
  • Mammals
  • Marine Mammals
  • Models
  • Monitoring
  • New England
  • Observation
  • Odontocetes
  • Probability
  • Risk Factors
  • Survival
  • Uncertainty

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Marine Mammal Biology