Methodology to Model and Understand the Complexities of Social, Economic,and Governance Interactions for Regional Assessment in Kenya

Abstract

This research explores the use of complex systems techniques to understand, model, and quantify how local events in the areas of security, governance, and economic development can have far-reaching regional impacts in developing countries. Several systems diagramming and system dynamics techniques were explored to conduct a thorough system analysis and ultimately determine what inputs cause the largest increase in key state variables representing a country's capacity and status. The resulting model will be used by AFRICOM analysts to determine the effect of local events across a wide range of variables in order to determine where the largest impact can be made to the improvement of a country's economic, social, and security status, and thereby prioritize investment and other activities in the area of interest.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 01, 2012
Accession Number
ADA576920

Entities

People

  • Derek Turner
  • John V. Farr
  • Joshua Stephens
  • Kristin C. Saling
  • Nolan Melson
  • Steven Han

Organizations

  • United States Military Academy

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Engineered Resilient Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Climate Change
  • Department Of Defense
  • Environment
  • Geography
  • Governments
  • Groundwater
  • Health Services
  • Management Personnel
  • Medical Personnel
  • National Security
  • Natural Resources
  • Public Policy
  • Systems Engineering
  • Terrorists
  • United States Military Academy
  • War Colleges
  • Water Resources

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union
  • Systems Analysis and Design