The Future of the Arab Gulf Monarchies in the Age of Uncertainties

Abstract

Seismic cultural and political shifts are under way in the Arab Gulf monarchies. The political upheavals and transitions that have swept through the Arab world over the last 2 years have not toppled the Arab Gulf rulers, but did not leave them untouched either. Rulers of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states face heightened internal and external challenges and uncertainties. Pro-democracy protests and calls are extending from Bahrain to other oil-rich countries of the Arabian Peninsula. The expectations of GCC citizens, particularly the educated youth, are increasingly moving from socioeconomic demands to political ones. They are now not only asking for jobs or wage increases, but also for more political participation and accountability. Chief among internal challenges is the resurgence in several GCC countries, particularly Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, of a decades-long sectarian rift between the Sunni regimes and their Shia subjects. The Gulf regimes' already tense relations with Iran have worsened on the basis of alleged Iranian interference inflaming sectarian tensions in Bahrain and across the broader region. In this monograph, the author assesses the challenges facing the region's rulers, and proposes meaningful political reform as a means of mitigating them.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 2013
Accession Number
ADA583955

Entities

People

  • Mohammed El-katiri

Organizations

  • United States Army War College

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Engineered Resilient Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Commerce
  • Elections
  • Employment
  • Foreign Policy
  • Governments
  • Middle East
  • Monarchy
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Natural Gas
  • Political Systems
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Security
  • Societies
  • Training
  • United States
  • War Colleges

Readers

  • Nuclear Non-Proliferation and International Security
  • Political Violence and Terrorism Studies.