Numbers Matter: Post-2014 Afghan National Security Force End Strength

Abstract

As the War in Afghanistan continues into a second decade, there is much debate regarding the post-2014 end state. The United States and its allies are laying the foundation for a long-term strategy for Afghanistan. There have already been preliminary discussions on the number of the Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF) the U.S. and the international coalition would support with funding beyond 2014. With the Afghan government s concurrence, the international community has tentatively agreed to fund a force level of 228,500 ANSF post-2014. A careful analysis of the risk leads one to conclude that the long-term strategy in Afghanistan may be infeasible given that the proposed number of ANSF does not adequately support the desired political objectives. The U.S. and its international allies should re-examine this number and consider funding the ANSF at the current force level of 352,000 post-2014 to provide the Afghan government a legitimate chance for success.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2013
Accession Number
ADA589347

Entities

People

  • John W. Leffers

Organizations

  • United States Army War College

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Afghanistan
  • Asia
  • Central Asia
  • Communities
  • Department Of Defense
  • Education
  • Governments
  • International Security
  • Military Science
  • National Security
  • Nato
  • Security
  • Terrorism
  • Terrorists
  • United States
  • War Colleges
  • Warfare

Fields of Study

  • Political science

Readers

  • Military and Counterinsurgency Studies.
  • Systems Analysis and Design