Ensemble Data Assimilation and Predictability of Tropical Cyclones

Abstract

The primarily objectives of the proposed work are as follows: (1) Further develop the COAMPS-EnKF data assimilation system for tropical cyclone initialization capable of effectively assimilating airborne Doppler radar and satellite observations as well as data from conventional surface and sounding networks. (2) Implement a pseudo ensemble data assimilation system for COAMPS that is capable of ingesting flow-dependent background error covariance for tropical cyclone initialization without performing a computationally expensive online ensemble forecast. (3) Develop quality control and data thinning procedures for COAMPS-EnKF by implementing successful strategies from the preexisting PSU WRF-based EnKF data assimilation system (WRF-EnKF). (4) Explore the practical use of different observing strategies in predicting tropical cyclones, including the assimilation of droposondes, radar, airborne and spaceborne observations using ensemble-based data assimilation systems.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 2013
Accession Number
ADA597758

Entities

People

  • Fuqing Zhang

Organizations

  • Pennsylvania State University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Airborne
  • Assimilation
  • Atmospheric Sciences
  • Boundaries
  • Covariance
  • Cyclones
  • Doppler Radar
  • Dynamics
  • Filters
  • Hurricanes
  • Kalman Filters
  • Meteorological Phenomena
  • Meteorology
  • Tropical Cyclones
  • Weather Forecasting
  • Wind
  • Wind Shear

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Ocean-Atmosphere Mesoscale Modeling, Data Assimilation, and Flux Boundary Layers

Technology Areas

  • Space