Probabilistic Deviation Detection and Optimal Thresholds

Abstract

The PDDOT program is to provide a method of continuously monitoring military plans during execution for deviations from expected performance. Determining such deviations in critical to the success of military operations where the complexity of the battle space and rapidly evolving enemy tactics requires an agile and effective response. In addition, commanders face the challenge of deciding when a deviation is significant enough to warrant the risks of re-planning. The PDDOT project identifies an optimal deviation threshold for determining when the executing plan is proceeding as planned, or needs to be modified.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2014
Accession Number
ADA597858

Entities

People

  • Jeffrey D. Smith
  • Joseph Fahey

Organizations

  • BAE Systems

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Counter WMD
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Air Force Research Laboratories
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Command And Control
  • Computer Programs
  • Detection
  • Detectors
  • Hidden Markov Models
  • Information Systems
  • Military Operations
  • Military Planning
  • Military Science
  • Probabilistic Models
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Reasoning
  • Software Testing

Readers

  • Joint Military Operations and Doctrine.
  • Regression Analysis.
  • Structural Health Monitoring of Composite Structures.

Technology Areas

  • Space