Topics in Statistical Calibration

Abstract

Calibration, more generally referred to as inverse estimation, is an important and controversial topic in statistics. In this work, both semiparametric calibration and the application of calibration to grouped data is considered, both of which may be addressed through the use of the linear mixed-effects model. A method is proposed for obtaining calibration intervals that has good coverage probability when the calibration curve has been estimated semiparametrically and is biased. The traditional Bayesian approach to calibration is also expanded by allowing for a semiparametric estimate of the calibration curve. The usual methods for linear calibration are then extended to the case of grouped data, that is, where observations can be categorized into a finite set of homogeneous clusters. Observations belonging to the same cluster are often similar and cannot be considered as independent; hence, we must account for within-subject correlation when making inference. Estimation techniques begin by extending the familiar Wald-based and inversion methods using the linear mixed-effects model. Then, a simple parametric bootstrap algorithm is proposed that can be used to either obtain calibration intervals directly, or to improve the inversion interval by relaxing the normality constraint on the approximate predictive pivot. Many of these methods have been incorporated into the R package, investr, which has been developed for analyzing calibration data.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 27, 2014
Accession Number
ADA598921

Entities

People

  • Brandon M. Greenwell

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Bayesian Networks
  • Computational Science
  • Data Mining
  • Data Science
  • Governments
  • Information Science
  • Knowledge Management
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Statistical Algorithms
  • Statistics
  • United States
  • United States Government

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Aerospace Test and Evaluation
  • Regression Analysis.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - Machine Learning Algorithms