Planning Under Uncertainty: Moving Forward

Abstract

Reasoning about uncertainty is an essential component of many real-world planning problems, such as robotic and space applications, military operations planning, air and ground traffic control, and manufacturing systems. Planning under uncertainty focuses on how to generate plans that will be executed in environments where actions have nondeterministic effects (i.e., actions may have more than one possible outcome) and the states of the world are not always fully observable. The two predominant approaches for planning under uncertainty are based on Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) and Symbolic Model Checking. Despite the recent advances in these approaches, the problem of how to plan under uncertainty is still very hard: the planning algorithms must reason about more than one possible execution path in the world, and the sizes of the solution plans may grow exponentially. In planning environments that do not admit full observability the complexity of planning increases by an additional exponential factor since the planner does not know the exact states of the world, and therefore, it must reason over the set of all states that it believes to be in. This dissertation describes a suite of new planning algorithms for planning under uncertainty with the assumption of full observability. The new algorithms are much more efficient than the previous techniques; in some cases, they find solutions exponentially faster than the previous ones.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2006
Accession Number
ADA599960

Entities

People

  • Ugur Kuter

Organizations

  • University of Maryland

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Autonomy
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Autonomous Navigation
  • Computational Science
  • Computer Programming
  • Computer Programs
  • Computer Science
  • Computers
  • Control Systems
  • Linear Programming
  • Machine Learning
  • Military Operations
  • Military Research
  • Motion Planning
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Reasoning

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Mathematical Modeling and Probability Theory.
  • Systems Analysis and Design

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Autonomous Systems
  • AI & ML - DoD AI Strategy
  • AI & ML - Machine Learning Algorithms
  • Autonomy
  • Space
  • Space - Spacecraft Maneuvers