Forecasting Future Sea Ice Conditions in the MIZ: A Lagrangian Approach

Abstract

We plan to use satellite-derived and climate model simulated sea-ice drift to produce backward trajectories of sea ice from the marginal ice zone and all peripheral seas. For the goals cited above, the back trajectories will be initiated just before the melt season and extend to the beginning of the floe s life when it was first formed. Analysis of source regions for sea ice melting in the peripheral seas and within the marginal ice zone is performed from both observed and modeled datasets. In the case of satellite-derived observed drift, sea ice age will also be calculated at each position of the back trajectories. For the simulated drift, we will calculate the sea-ice thickness (mean and amount from each different ice thickness category available) as well as sea ice age.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 2013
Accession Number
ADA601203

Entities

People

  • Bruno Tremblay

Organizations

  • Columbia University

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Arctic Ocean
  • Barents Sea
  • Boundaries
  • Climate Change
  • Delphi Method
  • Grids
  • Heat Flux
  • High Resolution
  • Ice
  • Marginal Ice Zones
  • Ocean Currents
  • Oceanography
  • Oceans
  • Sea Ice
  • Social Sciences
  • Trajectories
  • Water

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Polar and Arctic Studies

Technology Areas

  • Space