A More Flexible Approach to Valuing Flexibility

Abstract

The DOD routinely demonstrates its capability to develop phenomenal systems; however, these accomplishments are often tarnished by substantial cost and schedule overruns. While defense policies are continually being revised to address these problems, many believe that a more fundamental source of these overruns is the lack of flexibility in the systems being developed. But providing justification to invest in flexibility is a tough sell, as stakeholders struggle to quantitatively demonstrate the potential return on investment. Therefore, this paper introduces an alternative methodology for valuing the inherent ability of a system or design to accommodate change. The proposed methodology is essentially a modification of the current life cycle model and is premised on the notion that the need for capability changes in a program arise in a stochastic manner that can be incorporated into a continually updated, expected value model presented in terms of total program cost.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 01, 2011
Accession Number
ADA604405

Entities

People

  • David R. Jacques
  • Erin T. Ryan
  • John M. Colombi

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acquisition
  • Business Administration
  • Cycles
  • Department Of Defense
  • Directed Energy Weapons
  • Engineering
  • Investments
  • Life Cycle Costs
  • Life Cycles
  • Military Acquisition
  • Military Capabilities
  • Money
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Resilience
  • Systems Engineering
  • Test And Evaluation

Readers

  • Defense Acquisition Program Management
  • Economics
  • Systems Analysis and Design