China's Democratization Prospects: A Comparative Analysis

Abstract

The prospects of China democratizing have garnered much interest and assessment. The increased interest is attributed to an increasing Chinese impact not only on the region, but globally as well. While China has experienced three decades of fast economic growth, political reforms continue to lag behind economic reforms. With its legitimacy weakening progressively, a transition in political systems in the largest country in the world would have wide ranging implications in the political, economic and social spheres. Many have argued that economic growth is the main precursor to democratization. However, it is suggested, neither growth nor the resulting social phenomena are sufficient to bring about a democratic change in China. Drawing inferences from Taiwan and South Korea, this study seeks to examine the democratic transitions of both countries to shed light on China's prospects for democratization. It further concludes that China's prospects for democratization is bleak due to the resiliency of the regime, and any democratic transition would have to be elite-driven.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2014
Accession Number
ADA607772

Entities

People

  • Serene Khoo

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Engineered Resilient Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • China
  • Civil Rights
  • Congress
  • Governments
  • Human Rights
  • International Organizations
  • International Relations
  • National Governments
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Political Science
  • Political Systems
  • Social Media
  • South Korea
  • Students
  • United States
  • Urban Areas

Fields of Study

  • Political science

Readers

  • Asian Economic Studies
  • Educational Psychology
  • Systems Analysis and Design

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - DoD AI Strategy