United States Marine Corps Career Designation Board: Significant Factors in Predicting Selection

Abstract

The United State Marine Corps (USMC) re-implemented the competitive Career Designation (CD) board starting in FY 2010 to select and retain the most competitive junior officers. From 2010 to 2013, 4,723 out of 6,732 officers were offered CD. Utilizing a Probit model and the dataset of the 6,732 officers, we provide statistical analysis of what factors impact the officer s likelihood of being CD in each of the competitive subcategories of: combat arms, combat service support, aviation-ground, law, and aviation. We find that Reviewing Officer Relative Value Average is the most significant factor for most of the officers, as it increases the marginal probability of being CD by an average of 60 percentage points. Surprisingly, combat deployments were not consistently significant throughout the competitive categories. Finally, we develop an Excel-based interactive CD counseling tool, which provides the probability of the officer being CD, given the officer s individual characteristics.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2014
Accession Number
ADA607837

Entities

People

  • Raul P. Garza

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Artillery
  • Data Analysis
  • Data Sets
  • Demography
  • Deployment
  • Information Science
  • Marine Corps
  • Military Education
  • Military Personnel
  • National Security
  • Personnel Management
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Statistics
  • Students
  • United States
  • United States Naval Academy
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Military Leadership and Professional Education.
  • Regression Analysis.
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