Nation-Building Modeling and Resource Allocation Via Dynamic Programming

Abstract

Dynamic programming is used in many military and industrial applications to solve sequential decision making problems. This research proposes the development of a model and approach to address the application of dynamic programming in nation-building modeling. Through the creation of component indices to capture the state of operational variables: Political, Military, Economic, Social, Infrastructure, and Information (PMESII), a functional form of a system of differential equations is developed to account for the interactions between the state indices and instruments of national power: Diplomatic, Informational, Military, and Economic (DIME). Solving this problem with dynamic programming provides an improved sequence which describes the application of DIME in a manner that minimizes an objective (i.e. cost, time) and allows the model to account for external factors such as an insurgent reaction to US policy. An application of the model is derived for Iraq to demonstrate the utility of the model and explore various aspects of the solution space. This modeling approach offers a potential significant capability when analyzing and planning for nation-building operations.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 2014
Accession Number
ADA608970

Entities

People

  • Cade M. Saie

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Asymmetric Warfare
  • Attrition
  • Department Of Defense
  • Department Of State
  • Differential Equations
  • Factor Analysis
  • Governments
  • Iraqi-War
  • Joint Military Activities
  • Law
  • Military Applications
  • Military Operations
  • Military Science
  • Nonlinear Dynamics
  • Operations Research
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Military and Counterinsurgency Studies.
  • Operations Research
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.

Technology Areas

  • Space