ESPC-2 Operational Implementation and Validation of the Coupled System

Abstract

A fully coupled global atmosphere/ocean/ice/wave/land prediction system providing daily predictions out to 10 days and weekly predictions out to 30 days. The first objective is designing the infrastructure for operational implementation of the fully coupled global system. This design includes scoping the system to fit within the constraints of the operational centers. These constraints include both computational and manpower resources. Determination of the run cycle will take into account the three main forecasts (10-day deterministic, 30-day deterministic and 90-day probabilistic) with data assimilation for the different components to be considered. Data streams, inputs and post-processing also will be considered. The second objective is the validation of the three primary forecasts. The validation will be conducted relative to traditional metrics that have been used in prior transitions of individual ESPC components. In addition, the ESPC forecasts will be validated against the ESPC demonstration goals.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 2014
Accession Number
ADA616313

Entities

People

  • Benjamin C. Ruston
  • Edward Joseph Metzger

Organizations

  • United States Naval Research Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Assimilation
  • Atmospheres
  • Data Centers
  • Data Sets
  • Demonstrations
  • High Resolution
  • Ice
  • Ice Formation
  • Infrastructure
  • Lead Time
  • Military Research
  • Models
  • Navy
  • Sea Ice
  • Sea Surface Temperature
  • Surface Temperature
  • Validation

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Ocean-Atmosphere Mesoscale Modeling, Data Assimilation, and Flux Boundary Layers
  • Software Engineering