ESPC Coupled Global Ensemble Design

Abstract

The long-term goal of the project is the development of a coupled atmosphere-ocean ensemble prediction system that can provide probabilistic environmental information to meet Navy and DoD operations and planning needs throughout the globe from undersea to upper atmosphere and from the Tropics to the Poles on the weekly to monthly timescale. The objective of this project, which is the ensemble component of the ESPC effort, is the development of a coupled atmosphere ocean ensemble prediction system that will provide coupled atmosphere-ocean probabilistic predictions out to 30 days. The separate component ensemble systems will be developed first, followed by the development of the coupled system infrastructure and forecasting capabilities. Initial operational capability is targeted for 2018.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 2014
Accession Number
ADA616716

Entities

People

  • Justin McLay

Organizations

  • United States Naval Research Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Temperature
  • Atlantic Ocean
  • Atmospheres
  • Conduction (Heat Transfer)
  • Delphi Method
  • Distribution Functions
  • High Resolution
  • Low Resolution
  • Military Research
  • North Pacific Ocean
  • Oceans
  • Pacific Ocean
  • Perturbations
  • Probability
  • Probability Distribution Functions
  • Probability Distributions
  • Turbulent Diffusion

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Enterprise Information Systems Architecture and Joint Command Capability Interoperability Support.