Analyzing Noncombatant Evacuation Operations Using Discrete Event Simulation

Abstract

Large scale evacuations can be extremely complex, requiring tremendous coordination and logistical support. Noncombatant Evacuation Operations (NEOs) present additional challenges of civil unrest and violence that congests the transportation network and can require military assistance to execute the evacuation. NEOs contain many moving parts and simultaneous processes including thousands of evacuees, vehicles, aircraft, and personnel tracking technology. Discrete event simulation is a technique well suited to handle the complex interactions between the entities and to analyze the behavior of the system. This paper describes the methodology used to analyze NEO by the Center for Army Analysis (CAA) and presents a case study that illustrates how modeling can be used to evaluate various courses of action and support decision making. When preparing to execute a NEO, decision makers use simulation modeling and analysis to evaluate evacuation timelines, allocate resources and lift assets, select safe haven locations, and determine support requirements for evacuees.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 2013
Accession Number
ADA618492

Entities

People

  • Dallas Kuchel

Organizations

  • Center for Army Analysis

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Abstracts
  • Aircrafts
  • Assembly
  • Department Of Defense
  • Emergencies
  • Ground Vehicles
  • Infrastructure
  • Land Transportation
  • Noncombatant
  • Simulations
  • Spreadsheet Software
  • Transportation
  • Transportation Infrastructure
  • Unified Combatant Commands
  • United States
  • Urban Areas
  • Vehicles

Fields of Study

  • Engineering

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Emergency Management and Homeland Security.
  • Joint Military Operations and Doctrine.