Why Operations Assessments Fail: It's Not Just the Metrics

Abstract

In any military campaign, commanders, politicians, and the general public all desire to know whether the effort is succeeding. For conventional conflicts, well developed theories of war give a good understanding of the objectives to pursue and how to pursue them. These theories also enable the derivation of well defined metrics for progress, such as terrain held, numbers of enemy fighters killed or captured, or amount of enemy equipment and materiel destroyed. In unconventional conflicts the theories of war are more complex, objectives and ways to achieve them are less straightforward, and notions of winning and losing are more difficult to define. As a result, it is alsomore difficult to gauge and demonstrate progress in such conflicts. For the specific case of counterinsurgency, however, gauging and demonstrating progress is at least as important as in a conventional war, since the former tends to last longer and therefore requires sustained political and public support to conduct and such support is often tied to proof of progress. Thus operations assessment, designed to show whether progress is being made, should be a vital part of any unconventional conflict, especially counterinsurgency. For the current conflict in Afghanistan, assessments of progress have been highly criticized.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2011
Accession Number
ADA619255

Entities

People

  • Jonathan Schroden

Organizations

  • Naval War College

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Asymmetric Warfare
  • Doctrine
  • Instructions
  • Lessons Learned
  • Management Personnel
  • Measures Of Effectiveness
  • Military Occupational Specialties
  • Military Operations
  • Military Science
  • Operations Research
  • Organizational Structure
  • Personnel Management
  • Security
  • Students
  • Training
  • War Colleges
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Irregular Warfare and Special Operations Cyberspace Operations against Adversarial Threats.
  • Military History of the United States in the 20th Century.
  • Systems Analysis and Design