Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation (FCE) in Military Decision Support Processes

Abstract

The United States has a tradition of military analysis using a federated or combined suite of models. However, these are not the only methods of modeling military problems. We consider the application and implications of foreign modeling approaches. The particular alternate technique we focus on is fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE). FCE makes use of fuzzy mathematics, alone and in partnership with Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) models, to inform strategic and operational decisions. It is designed to aid leaders in capturing the complicated and sometimes fuzzy nature of multi-criteria decision problems through human knowledge and evaluations. These subjective inputs present criticisms regarding FCE solutions. FCE results are only as valid as the consistency of the subject matter expert s opinions. Therefore, this thesis analyzes the FCE approach through a case study and evaluates the implications of FCE results when there is high variance in expert opinions.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 2013
Accession Number
ADA620487

Entities

People

  • Karen J. Teague

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Case Studies
  • Consistency
  • Delphi Method
  • Fuzzy Logic
  • Fuzzy Sets
  • Linear Programming
  • Littoral Combat Ships
  • Mathematical Models
  • Mathematics
  • Operations Research
  • Reliability
  • Set Theory
  • Simulations
  • Systems Engineering
  • Test And Evaluation
  • United States

Readers

  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.
  • Naval Engineering and Maritime Security
  • Systems Analysis and Design