Forces Mobilization Model (FORCEMOB): Unclassified Training Tutorial
Abstract
The Forces Mobilization Model (FORCEMOB) is a modeling program used in the Risk Assessment and Mitigation Framework for Strategic Materials (RAMF-SM) in support of the Defense Logistics Agency (DLA). FORCEMOB estimates U.S. demands for goods and services during a national emergency scenario comprising economic and military conflicts. It calculates the economic demands (across 360 economic sectors) needed to support essential civilian, military, and emergency investment activities for each year of the scenario. Essential civilian demand refers to the civilian economy after accounting for possible homeland damage and exclusion of non-essential demands. Military demand encompasses both base military needs (Future Years Defense Program spending) and conflict military needs (the extra regeneration of forces lost in the conflict). Emergency investment is used to expand production in industries if necessary, and is automatically computed by an algorithm. These three categories of demand all require industrial output: for example, how much production from the rubber, electronics, and steel sectors are required to produce $1B of automobiles? To regenerate 30 tanks lost in combat? To open a new factory? FORCEMOB uses data on future peacetime economic demand and expected conflict-related factors to estimate total economic production requirements. These estimates are used later in RAMF-SM to calculate demand for strategic and critical materials and identify potential shortfalls, and eventually, to determine requirements for the National Defense Stockpile (NDS).
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Aug 01, 2015
- Accession Number
- ADA622048
Entities
People
- Eleanor L. Schwartz
- James S. Thomason
- Robert J. Atwell
- Thomas J. Wallace
Organizations
- Institute for Defense Analyses