Operational Models of Infrastructure Resilience

Abstract

We propose a definition of infrastructure resilience that is tied to the operation (or function) of an infrastructure as a system of interacting components and that can be objectively evaluated using quantitative models. Specifically, for any particular system, we use quantitative models of system operation to represent the decisions of an infrastructure operator who guides the behavior of the system as a whole, even in the presence of disruptions. Modeling infrastructure operation in this way makes it possible to systematically evaluate the consequences associated with the loss of infrastructure components, and leads to a precise notion of "operational resilience" that facilitates model verification, validation, and reproducible results. Using a simple example of a notional infrastructure, we demonstrate how to use these models for (1) assessing the operational resilience of an infrastructure system, (2) identifying critical vulnerabilities that threaten its continued function, and (13) advising policymakers on investments to improve resilience.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2015
Accession Number
ADA622248

Entities

People

  • David L. Alderson
  • Gerald G. Jerry Brown
  • W. M. Carlyle

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Cyber
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Engineered Resilient Systems
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Communication Systems
  • Department Of Homeland Security
  • Electric Power
  • Engineering
  • Equations
  • Game Theory
  • Infrastructure
  • Investments
  • Mathematical Models
  • National Security
  • Operations Research
  • Probabilistic Models
  • Probability
  • Transportation
  • United States
  • Vulnerability

Fields of Study

  • Computer science

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Cybersecurity.
  • Joint Military Operations and Doctrine.