Prediction Theory of Periodically Correlated Stochastic Processes

Abstract

The research dealt with the prediction problem for periodically correlated sequences, that is the stochastic sequences whose mean and covariance structure vary with time in a periodic way. We aimed at sequences with large periods. It has been known already for years that in order to do a reliable forecasting of periodically correlated sequences with large period (or continuous time processes) the standard method of rephrasing the problems in terms of multivariate stationary sequences does not work because of a huge number of unknown parameters. Our main effort was to develop an alternative technique for analysis such sequences . In the first published paper we proposed a new method based on a notion of a square factor of the spectrum of the process. In subsequent two papers we showed that this technique is very efficient. We successfully used it to study structure, regularity, autoregressive representation, innovation, and other questions related to prediction of periodically correlated sequences.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 12, 2015
Accession Number
ADA622750

Entities

People

  • Abolghassem Miamee
  • Andrzej Makagon

Organizations

  • Hampton University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Abstracts
  • Agreements
  • Algorithms
  • Coefficients
  • Department Of Defense
  • Engineering
  • Mathematics
  • Mechanical Engineering
  • Military Research
  • Probability
  • Sequences
  • Spectra
  • Standards
  • Stationary
  • Statistics
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Students

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Systems Analysis and Design