Robust Decision Making: The Cognitive and Computational Modeling of Team Problem Solving for Decision Making under Complex and Dynamic Conditions

Abstract

The focus of this work is to understand impactful aspects of team functioning as they solve complex problems, and propose the means to improve the performance of teams, under changing or adversarial conditions. By analyzing the characteristic differences between high performing and low performing teams, we identified behavior that characterized and differentiated the problem solving approach of the teams especially when the problem itself changes during solving. We then derived a simulated annealing-based algorithm that mimicked human team problem solving under these conditions; aspects of the algorithm also performed well as an optimization algorithm when solving a variety of hard numerical problems. Identification of the impact of team structure on problem solving behavior under changing conditions indicates that heterogeneous-grouped teams outperform homogeneous or non-grouped teams. Yet solving multiple problems sequentially is not as effective as breaking problems into smaller intermixed chunks, breaking fixation. Finally, a meta-analysis on the design literature where the impact of examples on problem solving was studied within the design process identified under what conditions examples will induce fixation or alternatively, inspiration.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 14, 2015
Accession Number
ADA625533

Entities

People

  • Jonathan Cagan
  • Kenneth Kotovsky

Organizations

  • Carnegie Mellon University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Abstracts
  • Air Force
  • Air Force Research Laboratories
  • Algorithms
  • Annealing
  • Classification
  • Computational Modeling
  • Contracts
  • Electronic Mail
  • Engineering
  • Genetic Algorithms
  • Identification
  • Incubation
  • Neural Networks
  • Optimization
  • Simulations
  • Training

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Systems Analysis and Design
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.