Toward the Development of Tropical Cyclone Ensemble Forecast and Cyclogenesis Modeling and Forecast for DoD's Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Abstract

The long-term goal is to improve Navy s operational forecast skill for tropical cyclone (TC) track, intensity change, and formation. The objectives of this project are twofold. First, we intend to apply the latest satellite products into Navy s operational weather forecast models. Our special focus is on the improvement of forecast skills of TC track and intensity change with use of a new TC bogus scheme that incorporates satellite-retrieved 3D temperature products. Secondly, we intend to develop a dynamic approach for tropical cyclogenesis forecast. To achieve it, we intend to simulate cyclogenesis processes in a numerical model and to understand physical mechanisms that give rise to the cyclogenesis.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 2003
Accession Number
ADA629924

Entities

People

  • Bin Wang
  • Tianming Li

Organizations

  • University of HawaiĘ»i System

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Artificial Satellites
  • Atmospheric Motion
  • Biological Phenomena
  • Cyclogenesis
  • Cyclones
  • Data Analysis
  • Dispersions
  • Energy
  • Intensity
  • Meteorological Phenomena
  • Meteorology
  • Rossby Waves
  • Satellite Orbits
  • Three Dimensional
  • Tropical Cyclones
  • Wave Power
  • Waves

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Joint Military Operations and Doctrine.

Technology Areas

  • Space