Development of an Expert System Based on the Systematic Approach To Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting

Abstract

The long-term goals of this project are to improve the quantitative accuracy and interpretative utility of official tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasts by enabling forecasters to successfully recognize and skillfully compensate for periods when numerical TC track forecast models are likely to be making highly erroneous track forecasts. The conceptual methodology for accomplishing these goals is the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting (hereafter Systematic Approach) conceived by Carr and Elsberry (1994).

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 30, 1999
Accession Number
ADA630660

Entities

People

  • Lester E. Carr Iii
  • Russell L. Elsberry

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Applied Computer Science
  • Atmospheric Motion
  • Cyclones
  • Data Displays
  • Delphi Method
  • Errors
  • Expert Systems
  • Graphical User Interface
  • Guidance
  • Meteorological Phenomena
  • Meteorology
  • Models
  • Prototypes
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Tropical Cyclones
  • User Interface

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Systems Analysis and Design