Assessing the Risk of Concurrent Operational Demands

Abstract

The dynamics of the new strategic environment and increased emphasis on operations other than war have caused Canada to seek a better understanding about how the risk of concurrent activities influences the mix of capabilities that are selected. One approach is to simulate the activation of demands within an analysis framework called the Scenario Operational Capability Risk Assessment Model (SOCRAM). The model utilizes a rigorous analysis structure that requires Strategic Planners to specify capability requirements, first in conceptual terms. Then. the conceptual principles are related to force structure elements (equipment and units) that satisfy the requirements. SOCRAM uses these to calculate the risk associated with each capability, within a force structure, based on the demand generated by concurrent operations. The presentation will provide an overview of the concepts integrated into SOCRAM and then describe how it was used to generate the distribution of operational demands for a key Air Force structure review.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 01, 2000
Accession Number
ADA633877

Entities

People

  • Ronald W. Funk

Organizations

  • Department of National Defence

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Aircrafts
  • Airframes
  • Basic Programming Language
  • Business Administration
  • Commerce
  • Environment
  • Force Structure
  • Lessons Learned
  • National Security
  • Observation
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Risk
  • Risk Analysis
  • Security
  • Sensitivity

Readers

  • Aerospace logistics and air mobility.
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Systems Analysis and Design