Scenario Analysis in US Army Decision Making

Abstract

This article describes scenario analysis, a technique for modeling and optimizing decisions under uncertainty. The description is informal and is oriented toward working analysts rather than theoreticians. It includes a description of the successful implementation of this method by the US Army TRADOC Analysis Center, White Sands Missile Range, NM, in a decision support system that has had extensive use in Army analysis.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2000
Accession Number
ADA635635

Entities

People

  • Richard R. Laferriere
  • Stephen M. Robinson

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Artillery Ammunition
  • Battles
  • Computer Programming
  • Data Analysis
  • Decision Support Systems
  • High Resolution
  • Linear Programming
  • Mathematical Programming
  • Models
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Operations Research
  • Optimization
  • Probabilistic Models
  • Probability
  • Simulations
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis
  • Military Training and Readiness Simulation
  • Theoretical Analysis.