Trends in Nuclear Proliferation, 1975-1995. Projections, Problems, and Policy Options
Abstract
This report analyzes the dimensions and problems of proliferation, focusing upon 1975-1995. Section I briefly categorizes the pressures for and the constraints upon a decision to acquire nuclear weapons by present and future candidate nuclear-weapon countries. Section II delineates the probable scope and analyzes the dynamics of future proliferation, developing a set of alternative proliferation projects. Section III provides a more detailed characterization of the parameters of Nth-country nuclear-weapon postures and programs, concluding with a discussion of Nth-country strategic situations. Section IV identifies, categorizes, and evaluates the problems of a world of many more nuclear powers. Section V provides an overview of possible American policy options for slowing the pace and managing the problems of proliferation, and attempts to identify policy approaches warranting more detailed study.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- May 15, 1976
- Accession Number
- ADB011707
Entities
People
- Herman Kahn
- Lewis A. Dunn