Estimating the Variance of the Loss Exchange Ratio

Abstract

A measure of force effectiveness that is often used in military analysis of combat is the Loss Exchange Ratio (LER). In many cases, the input required to calculate this measure is obtained by replicating a stochastic wargame model by using a computer or a manual exercise. It would be useful to determine a confidence interval about this measure of force effectiveness. This confidence interval would enable the analyst to examine problems concerning the precision of the measure, and compute the replication requirement for a stated degree of precision. Hypothesis testing could be done to compare the LERs of different alternative weapons systems introduced into the force. Two methods of solution are developed and proposed and an example is given.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1983
Accession Number
ADP001584

Entities

People

  • Eugene Dutoit

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Bioassay
  • Casualties
  • Confidence Limits
  • Data Science
  • Equations
  • Errors
  • Information Science
  • Intervals
  • Observation
  • Precision
  • Simulations
  • Statistical Inference
  • Statistics
  • Warfare
  • Weapon Systems

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Regression Analysis.