Global-Scale Obscuration by Mass Fire Smoke,

Abstract

Fire has been a major weapon in wars for centuries. In a conflict involving nuclear weapons, major fires will form and their smoke will effect later weapon effectiveness and the post attack environment. The analysis of the probability of large-scale mass fires and conflagrations is obviously one which must arrive at joint probability densities of fires occurring simultaneously over widely separated areas. In this study, the fire areas in the United States were chosen as southern California, the Pacific Northwest, the northern Rockies, the Lake States and the South. The data was grouped on a yearly basis, no attempt being made to develop smaller intervals or areas. Conditional probabilities were computed for each area, given that a large fire had occurred in another area during the same year.

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1983
Accession Number
ADP001816

Entities

People

  • Thomas Y. Palmer
  • William T. Kreiss

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Blast
  • California
  • Environment
  • Intervals
  • Nuclear Weapons
  • Obscuration
  • Probability
  • United States
  • Weapons

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Military Science
  • Strategic Security Studies