Multi-scale Predictability of High-Impact Weather in the Battlespace Environment
Abstract
Objectives of our study include: i) examination of the predictability of regional-scale weather phenomenon that have a high impact on military missions, ii) exploration of new methods to initialize ensembles for global and mesoscale atmospheric models, and iii) diagnosis of mohourdel error and uncertainty, and inclusion in ensemble design. For the global ensembles, the Ensemble Transform initial perturbation method is superior to the current operational method, and work is underway to determine the exact configuration that will be transitioned to operations. On the mesoscale, we have developed and tested a new, mesoscale ensemble forecast system using the atmospheric portion of the Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS(Registered) that is targeted for operational implementation as part of the Joint Ensemble Forecast System. We also have performed ultra high-resolution simulations of airflow over complex terrain to explore aviation turbulence hazards.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 01, 2007
- Accession Number
- ADP023751
Entities
People
- Carolyn Reynolds
- Craig Bishop
- James D. Doyle
- Joao Teixeira
- Justin McLay
- Teddy Holt
Organizations
- United States Naval Research Laboratory