Prediction, Statistical Quantification and Mitigation of Extreme Events Caused by Exogenous Causes or Intrinsic Instabilities
Abstract
We propose an integrated program to develop rigorous theories and efficient algorithms for the prediction, quantification, prevention, and control of rare and extreme transient events, i.e., events characterized by small probability but big consequences. A plethora of dynamical systems in nature and engineering exhibit intermittent behavior in the form of rare/extreme events. These range from structural systems (random vibrations and fatiguecrack nucleation) [36,56] to nonlinear waves (water waves, optical waves, atmospheric waves) [1,9], fluids (flow separation, fluid-structure interactions) and large scale networks (transient resonances, cascades, etc) [16, 59].
Document Details
- Document Type
- DoD Grant Award
- Publication Date
- Jan 21, 2022
- Source ID
- FA95502110058XX0
Entities
People
- Themistoklis Sapsis
Organizations
- Air Force Office of Scientific Research
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology
- United States Air Force