FUTURE FISH WARS- CHASING OCEAN ECOSYSTEM WEALTH
Abstract
Will climate change give rise to fish wars , militarized disputes between countries over marine fisheries, as fishing fleets chase ocean ecosystem wealth. We propose two climate change outcomes that could drive future fisheries conflicts. Value asymmetry will arise as fish stocks move from one location to another, changing the access that nations-actors have. Value compression is when the overall spatial area where a stock exists diminishes with climate change, resulting in an increasing density of competing nations and a per capita loss in value. Currently, we lack economic theory for measuring the value of natural assets like fisheries, targeted by multiple actors, and we do not yet know the changes in value asymmetry and compression that might occur in the future. Furthermore, we lack a theoretical framework to explore how climate change may drive instances of fisheries conflicts, through changes in value asymmetry and compression.
Document Details
- Document Type
- DoD Grant Award
- Publication Date
- Feb 05, 2025
- Source ID
- FA95502410016
Entities
People
- James Watson
Organizations
- Air Force Office of Scientific Research
- Oregon State University
- United States Air Force