Leveraging the MJO for Multi-Week Predictions: Improving Understanding of MJO - Maritime Continent Interactions
Abstract
Funds are provided to investigate tropical intraseasonal variability (e.g. Madden-Julian Oscillation) that exerts significant influences on global climate and weather systems including tropical synoptic systems, tropical cyclones (TCs) and wave features and extreme rainfall conditions. The PI will perform a foundational multi-model evaluation study that will provide an assessment of the most pervasive and problematic systematic biases in contemporary weather and climate models with respect to the local convection and air-sea interactions over the Maritime Continent (MC). He will perform a detailed characterization and analysis of the multi-scale interactions between the MJO, convectively-coupled Kelvin waves (CCKWs), and the local diurnal cycle of precipitation over MC using observation-based data sets and numerical simulations. It is expected that gains made in environmental forecasting skill at multi-week lead times, such as those advanced in this proposed work, will be of considerable use to Naval/DoD operations.
Document Details
- Document Type
- DoD Grant Award
- Publication Date
- Aug 12, 2016
- Source ID
- N000141512528
Entities
People
- Duane E. Waliser
Organizations
- Office of Naval Research
- United States Navy
- University of California, Los Angeles