This is a continuation of N000141310835 Multi-Source Assessment of State Stability
Abstract
Year 2: Expansion to Multiple Levels of Granularity and Culture, Current EventActivity: The focus in year 2 will be on expansion of the metrics, workflows, and theory to handle variations due to cultural differences or levels of granularity, and the associated extension to metrics and work on validation and verification entailed in looking cross-culturally and cross-granularity. Subtasks will include the following: Testing of interoperable system by collecting and analyzing a current event. Development, testing, and utilization of dynamic metrics for change in stability, topic-groups, trust and lines of influence cross-culturally and cross-levels of granularity. Adapt or create new metrics as needed. Continue theory development and analysis at the state, region and city level. Conduct validation studies using cross-cultural and cross-levels of granularity perspectives. Test generalizability and overall validity of developed theory of cyber-mediated stability. Verify approach using a new current event. Implement system changes as needed to stay abreast of technical changes in the twitter and news streams. Outreach activities including extension of courses to cover new material and findings.Milestone: Comparison and assessment of stability, trust and lines of influence at multiple levels of granularity and multi-culturally. Comparison and assessment of actors? roles for actors at different levels (individual and group) and topic-groups at each level of granularity and for each culture.Deliverable: Research papers and presentations at major conference contrasting findings from the two media at different levels of granularity and for different cultures. Paper describing the concept of operation for using social media in addition to traditional media to assess stability, trust and lines of influence at multiple levels of granularity or for multiple cultures. Annual report detailing theoretical advances, new metrics, new data description, and results. System demonstration, version 1.Year 3: Geo-temporal Perspective, Advanced Analytics, Current EventActivity: In year 3 focus on expanding the work both theoretically and methodologically to enable geotemporal analytics. Another core-activity will be an over-arching geo-temporal cultural analysis and addition of geographical factors to the developed theory. Subtasks will include: Expansion of techniques to support geo-temporal analysis. Theory expansion to account for geo-temporal variation. Quantitative and qualitative assessments of geo-temporal dynamics. Focus on replication using data from other Northern and Central Africancountries ? particularly Kenya and Sudan. Re-verify approach using another new current event. Quantitative and qualitative assessments of geo-temporal dynamics. Development of and testing of dynamic metrics for tracking andidentifying changes in topic-groups, leadership (or lack thereof). Incremental and dynamic metrics.Milestone: Comparison and assessment of stability, trust, and lines of influence from a geo-temporal perspective. Comparison of actor roles and trust in actors at different levels from a geo-temporal perspective. Identification of emergent leaders and emergent topic-groups. Search terms and procedure for accessing socialmedia from a geo-temporal perspective for assessing state-stability. New geo-temporal incremental and dynamic metrics. Expanded system ? version 2.Deliverable: Research papers and presentations at major conference on geo-temporal effects in state-stability, particularly as related to emergent leaders, role of leaderless groups, and emergent topic-groups. Report on metrics,formulation and utility. Documentation for interoperable system. Annual report detailing theoretical advances in validity, generalizability and system characteristics (e.g., usability and robustness). System demonstration version 2.Year 4 (Option): Formalization, Extension to New Social Media, System TestingActivity: In year 4 focus on expansion to other forms of s
Document Details
- Document Type
- DoD Grant Award
- Publication Date
- Sep 26, 2018
- Source ID
- N000141612324
Entities
People
- Kathleen Carley
Organizations
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology
- Office of Naval Research
- United States Navy