Near Real Time Assessment of Emergent Complex Systems of Confederates
Abstract
To develop & test FD2I theories, empirically driven open-source FD2I models/algorithms, an FD2I multi-level workflow system for oper""ating confederated models, & the tactics, techniques & procedures for reasoning about factions in northern Europe. Using a theoretic""ally transdisciplinary approach that blends social,psychological, organizational, political & computational theory; we draw on mult""iple types of data including subject matter expertise (SME), political climate information & hostilities data, voting data, economic"" indicators, news & social media (SM) to instantiate a set of confederated multilevel models & so reason about factions, their narra""tives & their dynamics. We will develop tools based on the Blau space, Social Influence, & Social Identity theories that given the n""etworks,narratives & demographic information will support the inference of lines of alliance & hostility & the causal factors that"" will change these. Building on advances in high dimensional network analytics (HDNA), socio-cultural cognitive mapping (SCM), socia""l influence theory, (cyber) collective action theory, formalized Blau space modeling, language technology, machine learning(ML), st""atistical network theory, & agent-based dynamic-network models (ABMs) we will develop & test a formal approach for identification &"" analysis of the factions, their narratives, their dynamics, & their anticipated response to courses of action (COA).
Document Details
- Document Type
- DoD Grant Award
- Publication Date
- Jul 07, 2017
- Source ID
- N000141712675
Entities
People
- Kathleen Carley
Organizations
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology
- Office of Naval Research
- United States Navy