U.S. China Strategic Stability and Japan
Abstract
U.S. extended deterrence is breaking down in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). The cause is two-fold: Russia’s introduction of limited-war military strategies backed by a credible threat of nuclear escalation; and diminished U.S. capabilities and allied doubts about NATO’s ability to counter the Russian threat. Increasingly, frontline CEE allies are confronted with the question of how to respond to new threats while they are supported only partially or belatedly by Western militaries. They are now considering bolstering their conventional capabilities through the acquisition of advanced offensive weapons or the placement of NATO tactical nuclear weapons and Ballistic Missile Defense on their soil. This is a novel security dynamic for post-Cold War CEE that could have a significant bearing on future regional stability. The Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA) proposes the Strengthening Strategic Stability in Central and Eastern Europe Initiative in an effort to increase public-policy understanding of the interplay between new Russian warfare techniques and emerging counter-strategies of CEE states; and to highlight the role of ally- and U.S.-level deterrence options for contributing to regional and global strategic stability. CEPA will organize and implement a Track II Strategic Dialogue in Washington and Warsaw to bring together top U.S. and CEE security and defense experts to assess these issues. Through written analysis and public outreach, CEPA will stimulate wider awareness and understanding among academic and think tank scholars of European security about the implications of the decline in U.S. extended deterrence, as well as how CEE deterrence strategies can support extended deterrence and counter new threats. The project will make a unique contribution by analyzing and introducing an overlooked security dynamic to the debate on nuclear strategic stability. It will also provide advanced conceptual tools to further discussion in the expert communities about helping the U.S. and its allies avoid major war on disadvantageous terms and evade damage to vital U.S. national security interests due to under-adaptation to evolving threats.
Document Details
- Document Type
- DoD Grant Award
- Publication Date
- Aug 09, 2016
- Source ID
- N002441610048
Entities
People
- Bin Li
Organizations
- Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
- United States Navy