Causal Exploration of Complex Operational Environments*

Abstract

*Formerly Predicting Complex Operational Environments The Causal Exploration of Complex Operational Environments program will develop advanced modeling, analysis, simulation, and visualization tools to enable command staffs to rapidly and effectively design, plan and manage missions in complex, hybrid operational environments. The U.S. military increasingly operates in remote and unstable parts of the world where mission success depends heavily on cooperation with and among a wide variety of stakeholder groups. These groups typically include host nation government organizations, local civilian groups, and non-governmental organizations each of which has priorities, sensitivities and concerns that may differ significantly. Current mission design and planning technologies do not adequately model the range of options or the inherent uncertainties. The program will develop tools to create causal, computational models that represent the most significant relationships, dynamics, interactions, and uncertainties of the operational environment including political, military, economic, and social factors. These will enable command staffs to design and quantitatively assess potential courses of action in complex operational environments.

Document Details

Document Type
Accomplishment
Publication Date
Oct 01, 2018
Source ID
b5b58c55fe44ee1c3ab653e4d90afa81

Tags

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Military and Counterinsurgency Studies.
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.

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