18) Technical Surprise - Biological Defense Improvement Program

Abstract

Technical Surprise assesses technological advancements for potential implications to the threat space, including agent use and release. Technical Surprise includes horizon scanning to identify potential areas of concern as well as conducts technical assessments of emerging technological advancements (e.g. biotechnology, artificial intelligence, machine learning, quantum computing). This program develops capabilities to evaluate and assess technical enhancements that may alter the nature or magnitude of a threat agent. The technical surprise program evaluates technologies and convergence of technologies that improve the ease of threat use and make threats more likely to survive being released. The program identifies the limitations and barriers associated with synthetic biology and assesses the implications. Finally, these efforts identify and assess former technology hurdles that have been lowered or overcome and assesses the implications to the magnitude of the potential threat.

Document Details

Document Type
Accomplishment
Publication Date
Oct 01, 2025
Source ID
f286136e017278a4606d57d1ebb42483

Tags

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Critical Infrastructure Protection in CBRN and WMD Threats.
  • Defense Technology Research and Development.
  • Systems Analysis and Design

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - DoD AI Strategy
  • Biotechnology
  • Quantum Computing
  • Space

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