Analysis of Crisis Decision-Making

Abstract

The paper analyzes two crisis situations for the United States; the Cuban Missile Crisis, 1962, and the Gulf of Tonkin Incident, 1964. The study is intended to be of assistance to decision makers and students of political science in categorizing lessons learned from the past and invite attention to recurrent issues. Using Paige's Korean Crisis propositions, a correlation analysis was made to determine their applicability to the latter crises. The range of correlation was obtained using a 'go, no-go' principle. A crisis decision model is presented to explain the sequential behavior in the referenced cases.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1970
Accession Number
AD0719705

Entities

People

  • Charles H. Piersall Jr.

Organizations

  • Center for Naval Analyses

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agreements
  • Contingency Operations (Military)
  • Correlation Analysis
  • Differential Equations
  • Governments
  • Health Services
  • International Organizations
  • Lessons Learned
  • National Security
  • New York
  • Political Science
  • Security
  • Southeast Asia
  • Surveillance
  • Tonkin Gulf
  • Treaties
  • United States

Readers

  • International Relations, focusing on Korea-Africa and North Korea-South Korea relations, and Nigeria-Latin American Relations.
  • Systems Analysis and Design
  • Theoretical Analysis.