Compendium on Risk Analysis Techniques

Abstract

The evolution of risk analysis in the materiel acquisition process is traced from the Secretary Packard memorandum to current AMC guidance. Risk analysis is defined and many of the existing techniques are described in light of this definition and their specific role in program management and systems analysis activities. Sections are included on subjective probability, Monte Carlo, Network Analysis, and Bayesian Statistics.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 01, 1972
Accession Number
AD0746245

Entities

People

  • Brain Elsner
  • Erwin M. Atzinger
  • Michael R. Chernick
  • Ward V. Foster
  • Wilbert J. Brooks

Organizations

  • United States Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Business Administration
  • Computational Science
  • Computer Programs
  • Data Science
  • Distribution Functions
  • Knowledge Management
  • Mathematics
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Probability Density Functions
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Statistics
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Urban Areas

Readers

  • Defense Acquisition Program Management
  • Statistical inference.
  • Systems Analysis and Design

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - DoD AI Strategy