A Stochastic Survivability Model for Comparison of Combat Organizational Structures

Abstract

A model is developed which relates the structure of a combat unit to its expected effectiveness during a time interval. Sensitivity to variations of structure is incorporated into the model by adapting effectiveness concepts from reliability theory, and by constructing the attrition process as a continuous parameter Markov chain. The model is highly sensitive to the judgment of the user, due to parametric flexibility both in the attrition process, and effectiveness measurement. Two solution methods are given. Examples are employed to illustrate the model's use, and proposals for refinement are offered.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1972
Accession Number
AD0749074

Entities

People

  • Dennis H. Long

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Artillery
  • Artillery Fire
  • Attrition
  • Failure Mode And Effect Analysis
  • Game Theory
  • Markov Processes
  • Operations Research
  • Organizational Structure
  • Probability
  • Projectiles
  • Random Variables
  • Reliability
  • Small Arms
  • Time Intervals
  • United States
  • Warfare
  • Weapons

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Military History / Militaries and War Studies