Comparison of a Deterministic and a Stochastic Model for the Probability of Winning in a Two-Sided Combat Situation

Abstract

Combat attrition can be modelled as either a determistic or a stochastic process. In the thesis the forecasts of combat outcomes generated by deterministic and stochastic Lanchester-type models for combat between two homogeneous forces are compared. Using stochastic formulations, the probability of winning is studied and contrasted with a deterministic win criterion for some idealized combat situations. Force ratios required to assure victory in an attack are studied from this standpoint.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1972
Accession Number
AD0756536

Entities

People

  • Amnuay Wannasilpa
  • Woo Young Lee

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Attrition
  • Coefficients
  • Computations
  • Computer Programs
  • Computers
  • Difference Equations
  • Differential Equations
  • Digital Computers
  • Equations
  • Markov Processes
  • Military Operations
  • Military Tactics
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Warfare

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Military History / Militaries and War Studies