Robust Goal Programming And Risk Assessment Using Cardinality-Constrained And Strict Robustness Via Alternative Uncertainty Sets

Abstract

Within many disciplinary applications, data uncertainty is problematic to informing parameters for optimization modeling. Although there exist alternative methods to account for such uncertainty, this research considers robust optimization (RO), wherein variability can be estimated but the probability distribution for different outcomes cannot be reasonably approximated. Within this context, this research sets forth three robust goal programming (RGP) models that alternatively combine cardinality-constrained robustness and norm-based uncertainty sets, as well as strict robustness and ellipsoidal uncertainty sets. With a view towards parametrizing these models for any given decision maker (DM), we also propose a mapping methodology that considers a DMs risk preference a priori and relates this risk preference from the decision analysis subdiscipline to an RO risk parameter in the optimization subdiscipline. Finally, we demonstrate the applicability of the RGP model that applies cardinality-constrained robustness via 2-norm uncertainty sets in unison with the aforementioned mapping methodology to a transportation rate setting problem addressed annually by the United States Transportation Command.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 14, 2017
Accession Number
AD1055552

Entities

People

  • Robert W. Hanks

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Business Administration
  • Department Of Defense
  • Evolutionary Algorithms
  • Goal Programming
  • Linear Programming
  • Multiobjective Optimization
  • Operations Research
  • Optimization
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Random Variables
  • Risk Analysis
  • Set Theory
  • Systems Engineering
  • United States
  • United States Transportation Command

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Aviation Safety Risk Assessment.
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.