Machine Learning Models of C-17 Specific Range Using Flight Recorder Data

Abstract

Fuel is a significant expense for the Air Force. The C-17 Globemaster fleet accounts for a significant portion. Estimating the range of an aircraft based on its fuel consumption is nearly as old as flight itself. Consideration of operational energy and the related consideration of fuel efficiency is increasing. Meanwhile machine learning and data-mining techniques are on the rise. The old question, "How far can my aircraft fly with a given load cargo and fuel?" has given way to "How little fuel can I load into an aircraft and safely arrive at the destination?" Specific range is a measure of efficiency that is fundamental in answering both questions, old and new. Predicting efficiency and consumption is key to decreasing unnecessary aircraft weight. Less weight means more efficient flight and less fuel consumption. Machine learning techniques were applied to flight recorder data to make fuel consumption predictions. Accurate predictions afford smaller fuel reserves, less weight, more efficient flight, and less fuel consumed overall. The accuracy of these techniques were compared and illustrated. A plan to incorporate these and other modeling techniques is proposed to realize immediate fuel cost savings and increase savings over time.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2019
Accession Number
AD1074737

Entities

People

  • Marcus A. Catchpole

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Autonomy
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Sensors

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Air Force
  • Aircrafts
  • Application Software
  • Artificial Intelligence Software
  • Climate Change Adaptation
  • Computer Programming
  • Computers
  • Data Analysis
  • Data Mining
  • Flight Recorders
  • Fuel Efficiency
  • Information Science
  • Machine Learning
  • Neural Networks
  • Predictive Modeling
  • Spreadsheet Software

Readers

  • Aerospace Engineering
  • Distributed Systems and Data Platform Development
  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Neural Networks