Energy Resilience Impact Of Supply Chain Network Disruption To Military Microgrids

Abstract

The ability to provide uninterrupted power to military installations is paramount in executing a countrys national defense strategy. Microgrid architectures increase installation energy resilience through redundant local generation sources and the capability for grid independence. However, deliberate attacks from near-peer competitors can disrupt the associated supply chain network, thereby affecting mission-critical loads. Utilizing an integrated discrete-time Markov chain and dynamic Bayesian network approach, we investigate disruption propagation throughout a supply chain network and quantify its mission impact on an islanded microgrid. We propose a novel methodology and an associated metric we term energy resilience impact to identify and address supply-chain disruption risks to energy security. A case study of a fictional military installation is presented to demonstrate how installation energy managers can adopt this methodology for the design and improvement of military microgrids.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 2021
Accession Number
AD1164802

Entities

People

  • Edward Anuat

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Cyber
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Engineered Resilient Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Classification
  • Department Of Defense
  • Electrical Grids
  • Energy Production
  • Energy Security
  • Energy Storage
  • Logistics
  • Military Applications
  • National Security
  • Probability
  • Reliability
  • Risk
  • Risk Analysis
  • Risk Management
  • Supply Chain
  • Supply Chain Management
  • Systems Engineering
  • United States

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Economics
  • Energy Conservation and Renewable Energy Engineering.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - DoD AI Strategy